GOP Primary Predictions: Michigan

Michigan Primary (Tuesday, January 15)

Cut and dried balloting, second standard primary.

Momentum: McCain, McCain, McCain. A Michigan win will be huge for him heading into South Carolina, because he is already the frontrunner there. Huckabee is also moving up as well; his showing in New Hampshire, while ignored in the media, was actually quite strong, given how liberal the state is. He'll be tough in South Carolina.
Losing Ground: Romney. He was pathetic in the SC debate, and after losing what he claimed would be an easy victory in NH, he is seriously hurting. He recently pulled all his advertising from SC and put all his focus on MI, but it won't help him.
Who is out after Michigan: Ron Paul (but he's been out for a long time at this point), Thompson and Giuliani. The latter has put all his eggs into the Florida basket, but he's expecting to walk into the Sunshine State and say, hey, look at me, I have placed fourth or worse in every primary so far, but you all need to vote for me, and quite frankly, it's not going to happen. As for Thompson, he put on a very good show at the SC primary last week, but unfortunately for him, it is too little too late. He showed some fire and showed that he had some strong positions, but he's sustained too many losses already to make his campaign viable.


My Predictions:

1. John McCain - 29% (winner)
2. Mitt Romney - 27.5%
3. Mike Huckabee - 16%
4. Fred Thompson - 9.5%
5. Rudy Giuliani - 8%
6. Ron Paul - 7.5%